William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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OBAMA IS NOT GALLUPING – AT 9:03 P.M. ET:  President Obama has hit his lowest point in the Gallup Poll.

Presidential approval stands at only 44%, while 48% disapprove.  The fact is that the general trend for the president is downward. 

Scott Rasmussen reports that his survey finds 46% approval for the president, close to the Gallup number, while 53% disapprove.  Rasmussen polls among likely voters, which we consider to be the more accurate method.

Rasmussen also reports that only 26% strongly approve of the president, while 43% strongly disapprove. 

These are miserable numbers for this stage in Mr. Obama's presidency.  True, they can be improved because any president can improve his numbers.  But there must be no joy at the White House.

I'm convinced that part of Mr. Obama's problem is that people simply don't like him as much as they once did.  He's become abrasive and at times a bit nasty.  Obamalove is getting stale. 

Does this point to a Republican victory in November?  Well, probably.  But victory is not enough.  It must be a decisive victory, decisive enough to end Mr. Obama's legislative program.  That is the GOP challenge.

June 10, 2010